December 2024 was crazy with AI advancements from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Meta and we started to hear more about “AGI (Artificial General Intelligence)” will be achieved sooner than expected, maybe even in 2025! During CES this week I had many industry experts, analysts asking me the question “How do we really know we did achieve AGI?”. So this weekend I spent some time to share my thoughts through this article as a long form and I want to emphasize the Automated Reasoning Challenge (ARC) by Anthropic as a key take-away. I am planning to start short-videos for easy digestion of this technical content in 2025, so stay tuned for the AGI videos on LinkedIn from me.
TLDR
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is the milestone where machines replicate the full spectrum of human intellectual abilities, such as reasoning, learning, and adapting across domains. Indicators of AGI include two important aspects: Performing tasks without pre-programmed knowledge and contextual understanding and reasoning. Frameworks like the Extended Turing Test, the Coffee Test, and the ARC Challenge are tools for evaluating AGI. Once AGI is achieved, the next step is Artificial Superintelligence (ASI), which surpasses human capabilities and presents both transformative opportunities and existential risks. Preparing for this future requires robust ethical oversight and alignment with human values.
